Brier Weather Station
Latitude N 47° 46' 49" Longitude W 122° 16' 48" Elevation 341 ft
690
FXUS66 KSEW 081739
AFDSEW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
939 AM PST Sun Feb 8 2026
.SYNOPSIS...A system will move into Oregon and southern
Washington through today. Unsettled weather Monday into early
Tuesday with weak troughing. Drier weather midweek. Another
system likely late week for additional precipitation.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A mix of clouds and some clearing this morning as we continue to
be in a post- frontal airmass. Weak convergence has led to
stratus in areas of King/Snohomish Counties with additional
clouds mainly south of Olympia ahead of the next weather system.
This system will track into Oregon today, with precipitation
through the afternoon mainly confined south of Seattle, with the
majority of QPF mostly over the Cascades of Lewis County.
Otherwise, some sunshine will be around, especially along the
Olympic Peninsula and north of Everett.
Another round of showers will move onshore tonight, with showers
continuing at times on Monday for Western Washington. Snow
levels will also be around 3000 to 4000 feet through Monday,
resulting in light to moderate snow accumulation for the
Cascade Passes. Snow amounts through Monday evening are expected
to range 1 to 4 inches for Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass, with 6
to 8 inches of snow for White Pass due to the additional
precipitation today. Temperatures will remain in the upper 40s
to low 50s for highs through Monday.
Precipitation chances taper off on Tuesday, initially for
southern areas, with dry conditions expected for Seattle
southwards on Tuesday, and some light precipitation lingering
near BC into the afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...Ridging begins to
nudge into Western Washington Tuesday night through Wednesday,
resulting in drier weather midweek. Mostly clear skies will
promote fog development Wednesday morning. The ridge is rather
transient as the ridge flattens and southwest flow aloft
increases on Thursday. Precipitation potential begins to
increase on Thursday, with higher probabilities on Friday as a
weak front moves across the area. Uncertainty increases in
ensembles by next weekend, however, troughing is the general
theme, and thus unsettled weather, and cooler temperatures, are
expected next weekend. JD
&&
.AVIATION...Ceilings expected to continue to improve this morning,
becoming VFR for much of the day as clouds scatter with the system
far to the south. MVFR to IFR cigs will return around early Monday
morning as a weak frontal system begins to move through the area.
Light and variable winds this morning will become northerly today
then backing to the south/southwest this evening and strengthen to 5-
10 kt overnight tonight into early Monday.
KSEA...VFR cigs will continue to lift and even scatter through this
evening. Ceilings will begin to lower at the end of the period as
another weak front moves through the area, with MVFR cigs and
possible showers by around 12z. Light and variable winds will veer
fully to the north then back to S/SW by 03Z Mon and begin to
increase to around 8-12 kt by 12Z Mon.
62/cook
&&
.MARINE...Small Craft Advisory level winds continue through
portions of the central and Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca early
this morning but continue to decrease and should ease before
sunrise this morning. Elsewhere, winds remain fairly light. A
weak frontal system will move across the area waters on Monday
but winds look to remain well below thresholds. Tranquil
conditions are in store Tuesday and Wednesday as broad high
pressure briefly builds across the area. The next frontal system
will move through the area Thursday into Friday which may
require the next round of headlines.
Seas around 8 to 9 ft will rise slightly to around 10 to 11 ft
tonight into Monday. Seas then fall Tuesday to around 5 to 7 ft
through Thursday when seas look to rise back up above 10 ft.
62
&&
.HYDROLOGY...The Skokomish River is cresting early this morning
below flood stage, and will continue to recede through today. No
river flooding is expected over the next 7 days.
&&
.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM PST Monday
for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10
To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James
Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To
Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James
Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From
Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal
Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.
&&
$$
NWS SEW Office Area Forecast Discussion