Brier Weather Station
Latitude N 47° 46' 49" Longitude W 122° 16' 48" Elevation 341 ft
415
FXUS66 KSEW 061007
AFDSEW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
207 AM PST Fri Nov 6 2026
.SYNOPSIS...A strong frontal system will bring gusty winds and
additional rainfall to western Washington today. A warm front
will boost temperatures as it moves northwards into the area
Saturday. A follow-up cold front Saturday night into Sunday will
bring another round of rain and gusty winds. The weather
pattern remains active next week as additional storms impact the
area.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...The first in a series of
strong Pacific frontal systems will impact the region today
with strong winds along the coast and North Interior. Expect
south winds with gusts to 50 MPH - Wind Advisories are in
effect. Winds will ease late this afternoon. Rain-wise, most of
the precipitation will be along the coast, Olympic peninsula,
and north part this morning, with rain filling in across the
Seattle metro this afternoon and evening. Showers will taper off
after midnight as the cold front exits.
A warm front will move into B.C. on Saturday and we will start
the day dry and mild. Highs will track warmer than average with
temperatures in the 60s. A deep low will head toward Haida
Gwaii Saturday night while sending a cold front into western WA.
This will bring another round of windy and rainy weather with
the potential for strong winds along the coast. It`ll be windy
in the interior too with gusts to 30-40 MPH.
There`s a brief break between systems on Sunday but the focus
will turn toward the coast again as a large swell train reaches
Washington. Seas of 20-25 ft will reach the coastal waters with
potential for high surf condition along the beaches. 33
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...The weather pattern
remains active next week as additional Pacific storms track NE
and impact the Pac NW. Each storm brings the potential for windy
conditions (especially the coast), with more lowland rain and
high elevation snow. There`s little break in the action through
the period. 33
&&
.AVIATION...West to southwest flow aloft prevails into tonight
as a warm front stalled offshore shifts into Western Washington
later today and weakens. As precipitation associated with this
frontal system spreads onshore, a deterioration to MVFR ceilings
is expected along the coast and across the North Interior
toward mid/late morning with said conditions spreading to the
remainder of the area this afternoon. Gusty south to
southeasterly surface winds of 20 to 30 knots with locally
higher gusts can be expected for coastal areas and the interior
from KPAE northward into this afternoon before easing.
KSEA...Ceilings are expected to remain at or above 4000 feet
through 18Z with periods of light rain developing this morning.
Ceilings are then expected to fall to MVFR near or after 21Z as the
bulk of the rain with the front shifts into the area. These
conditions are expected to persist well into the evening before
precipitation decreases overnight. Surface winds S/SE 7 to 10 knots
will rise to 10 to 15 knots at times this afternoon with occasional
higher gusts before easing tonight.
27
&&
.MARINE...An active weather patter across area waters will
continue into next week as a series of frontal systems cross the
region. Gales remain in place today for the coastal waters,
strait entrances, and northern inland waters as a stalled warm
front eventually shifts onshore and weakens this evening. All
attention then turns toward a surface low that will deepen to
near 970 millibars as it lifts northeastward offshore on
Saturday night pushing a vigorous frontal system into the area.
This system looks sufficiently strong to produce gales across
all waters between midday Saturday and midday Sunday. And there
is enough potential for some storm force gusts to hoist a storm
watch for the coastal waters during said period. In addition to
the wind threat, coastal seas will build substantially and could
exceed 25 feet across portions of the coastal waters by early
Sunday morning. Brief high pressure will build over the waters
Sunday night into early Monday before additional systems arrive
with the potential for more headlines.
Rough to severe bar conditions will develop at Grays Harbor today
and continue until further notice.
27
&&
.HYDROLOGY...River flooding is not expected through the next
seven days. However, a series of increasingly wet weather
systems will bring rain (and high mountain snow) to the region,
especially from Friday onward. While current forecasts are not
expected to cause flooding, this will begin to saturate soils
and raise base flows that could bring a concern with subsequent
storms systems into next week.
&&
.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...Wind Advisory until 4 PM PST this afternoon for Island County-
Lowlands of Western Skagit and Northwestern Snohomish
Counties-Lowlands of Western Whatcom County-San Juan
County.
Wind Advisory until 1 PM PST this afternoon for Northern
Washington Coast.
Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 4 PM PST this
afternoon for Grays Harbor County Coast.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Saturday for Grays Harbor
Bar.
Gale Warning until 2 PM PST this afternoon for East Entrance
U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-West Entrance U.S.
Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.
Gale Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday morning for
Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance
U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-West Entrance U.S.
Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to midnight PST
tonight for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.
Gale Warning until 2 PM PST this afternoon for Northern Inland
Waters Including The San Juan Islands.
Gale Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon
for Admiralty Inlet-Northern Inland Waters Including The
San Juan Islands.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST this afternoon for
Admiralty Inlet.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 11 PM PST this
evening for Puget Sound and Hood Canal.
Gale Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning for
Puget Sound and Hood Canal.
Gale Warning until 4 PM PST this afternoon for Coastal Waters
From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal
Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To
60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville
Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape
Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point
Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.
Storm Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday morning for
Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To
60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island
Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point
Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To
Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point
Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters
From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.
&&
$$
NWS SEW Office Area Forecast Discussion